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Bel Air Center Shopping Center
For Sale
$3,715,000

1200 Cirby Way, Roseville, CA 95661

A retail center with an established shadow-anchor relationship to Bel Air.

Property Size8,200 SF
Days on Market106

Property Features for 1200 Cirby Way

General Information

Standard status Active
Size 8,200 SF
Property subtype Retail

Building Details

Building Size 8,200 SF
Year Built 1983
Listing Agency: Lee & Associates - Ontario
Listed By: Jonathan Selznick · License #NV #B.1001723.INDV
Source: Lee-associates
Added: May 17 Changed: Aug 29 Last Checked: Aug 29 at 6:59PM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Lee & Associates - Ontario

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

Bel Air Center is a shopping center at 1200 Cirby Way in Roseville, California. The property was built in 1983 and has a shadow-anchor relationship with Bel Air, providing an established retail setting for the center.

Key Highlights

  • Shadow anchored by Bel Air
  • Located at 1200 Cirby Way, Roseville, CA 95661
  • Built in 1983

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$127,175
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
3.42%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$2,543,500 $2.5M
Cap Rate 7%
$1,816,786 $1.8M
Cap Rate 9%
$1,413,056 $1.4M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 8,200 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$192.9K $23.52/SF
− Vacancy
−$11.2K −$1.36/SF
EGI
$181.7K $22.16/SF
− OpEx
−$54.5K −$6.65/SF
NOI
$127.2K $15.51/SF
Area
Roseville, CA
Vacancy
5.80%
Lease Rate
$23.52 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$2,543,500
Cap Rate 7%
$1,816,786
Cap Rate 9%
$1,413,056

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Retail
$1.82M
$1.59M – $2.12M (±1% cap)
NOI $127,175 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 3.42%
Second Best
no second resolved use
Theoretical Best
Office A
$2.26M
$1.97M – $2.63M (±1% cap)
NOI $157,982 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 4.25%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Diamond Blade Barber ... Barber Shop OMG Yogurt / Crazy ... Grocery & Convenience Store Countess Alterations & Dress (Bike/Boat/Book/etc) Store Scott W. Magnusson, ... Alternative Medicine Practice Drip Vape & Smokes (Bike/Boat/Book/etc) Store

Suggested Use

Top Pick Parking Lot & Garage Kitchen & Bath Showroom Real Estate Agency Electrical Service Law Firm HVAC Service

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

922
Businesses Nearby
225k
Monthly Visits Nearby
Under-served
Demand for This Use

Foot Traffic Nearby

Dining 53% Groceries 30% Shops & Services 16%
Safeway Groceries
43,728 visits/mo 0.2 miles
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dining
25,593 visits/mo 0.5 miles
Safeway Gas Shops & Services
24,788 visits/mo 0.1 miles
Bel Air Groceries
24,415 visits/mo 0.0 miles
McDonald's Dining
22,472 visits/mo 0.1 miles

Demographics for 95661, CA

32,847
Population
13,832
Households
2.4
Avg Household Size
43
Median Age
44%
College-Educated
95%
High-School Grad
9.0 sq mi
ZIP Area
3,650
Density / Sq Mi
$103,745
Median Household Income
$62,760
Median Earnings
$1,930
Median Rent
$667,500
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in West region

7% 2020
6.3% 2021
5.5% 2022
5.3% 2023
5.5% 2024
5.8% 2025
Rey
Questions? Ask Rey
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Shopping center - A retail center with an established shadow-anchor relationship to Bel Air.
Where is this shopping center located?
The property is located at 1200 Cirby Way Roseville, CA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $3,715,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: Shadow anchored by Bel Air; Located at 1200 Cirby Way, Roseville, CA 95661; Built in 1983
More about this property
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