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Retail Space on Route 1
For Sale
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Pending

2844 Jefferson Davis Hwy, Stafford, VA 22554

Retail space for sale near major retailers and residential complex.

Property Size4,223 SF
Days on Market1552

Property Features for 2844 Jefferson Davis Hwy

General Information

Standard status Pending
Size 4,223 SF
Property subtype Retail
Occupancy 100%
Lease Type NNN
Investment Type Net Lease
Net Operating Income $110,750

Building Details

Units 1
Tenancy Single
Listing Agency: SEL Property Advisors, LLC
Listed By: Marcello Mannino · License #10491212382
Source: Crexi
Added: Jun 9, 2022 Changed: Aug 21 Last Checked: Sep 6 at 5:28AM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of SEL Property Advisors, LLC

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

This 4,223-square-foot retail space is positioned on Route 1, across from a McDonald's and the Aquia15 at Towne Center Apartment Complex, which contains 256 apartments. The location is in close proximity to a Walmart Supercenter, Lowe’s Home Improvement, Target, Best Western, and Home Depot. These retailers have significant regional draw and are accompanied by countless national retailers. The property is located within minutes of Marine Corps Base Quantico, which has an annual economic impact of over $5.8 billion.

Key Highlights

  • High‑traffic location on Route 1, across from McDonalds and Aquia15 at Towne Center Apartment Complex (256 Apartments).
  • Close proximity to major national retailers including Walmart Supercenter, Lowe’s, Target, Best Western, and Home Depot.
  • Minutes from Marine Corps Base Quantico, with an annual economic impact of over $5.8B.

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$141,267
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
7.44%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$2,825,340 $2.8M
Cap Rate 7%
$2,018,100 $2.0M
Cap Rate 9%
$1,569,633 $1.6M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 4,223 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$211.3K $50.04/SF
− Vacancy
−$9.5K −$2.25/SF
EGI
$201.8K $47.79/SF
− OpEx
−$60.5K −$14.34/SF
NOI
$141.3K $33.45/SF
Area
Stafford County, VA
Vacancy
4.50%
Lease Rate
$50.04 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$2,825,340
Cap Rate 7%
$2,018,100
Cap Rate 9%
$1,569,633

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Retail
$2.02M
$1.77M – $2.35M (±1% cap)
NOI $141,267 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 7.44%
Second Best
no second resolved use
Theoretical Best
Specialty Retail
$2.35M
$2.05M – $2.74M (±1% cap)
NOI $164,190 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 8.64%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Juicy Bucket Seafood ... Restaurant Juicy Bucket Seafood ... Restaurant

Suggested Use

Top Pick Law Firm Building Supply Dental Office Big Box & Wholesale Store Auto Repair Shop HVAC Service

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

462
Businesses Nearby

Demographics for 22554, VA

64,354
Population
20,861
Households
3.1
Avg Household Size
34
Median Age
45%
College-Educated
93%
High-School Grad
64.1 sq mi
ZIP Area
1,004
Density / Sq Mi
$148,268
Median Household Income
$65,672
Median Earnings
$2,000
Median Rent
$482,600
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in South region

7% 2020
6.2% 2021
5.1% 2022
4.8% 2023
4.9% 2024
5.4% 2025
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Retail space - Retail space for sale near major retailers and residential complex.
Where is this retail space located?
The property is located at 2844 Jefferson Davis Hwy Stafford, VA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $1,900,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: High‑traffic location on Route 1, across from McDonalds and Aquia15 at Towne Center Apartment Complex (256 Apartments).; Close proximity to major national retailers including Walmart Supercenter, Lowe’s, Target, Best Western, and Home Depot.; Minutes from Marine Corps Base Quantico, with an annual economic impact of over $5.8B.
More about this property
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