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Grocery Outlet Net-Lease Retail
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2338 Patterson Rd, Riverbank, CA 95367

Brand-new 2026 Grocery Outlet with a 15-year net lease to Grocery Outlet Inc. in a multi-tenant retail center.

Property Size16,000 SF
Price / SF$472.88
Days on Market48

Property Features for 2338 Patterson Rd

General Information

Standard status Active
Size 16,000 SF
Total Parking Spaces 47
Property subtype Retail
Lease Type Net
Investment Type Net Lease
Net Operating Income $435,000

Site & Location

Traffic Count 26,000 vehicles/day
Highway Access Yes
Road Access Yes

Additional Details

Cap Rate 5.75%

Building Details

Year Built 2026
Tenancy Single
Listing Agency: Cushman & Wakefield - Sacramento, California
Listed By: Ryan Forsyth · License #CA 01716551
Source: Crexi
Added: Jul 24 Changed: Aug 28 Last Checked: Sep 8 at 4:20AM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Cushman & Wakefield - Sacramento, California

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

Cushman & Wakefield presents a brand-new 2026 Grocery Outlet location offering a 15-year net lease to Grocery Outlet Inc. (NASDAQ: GO). The property is approximately 16,000 square feet and is positioned as a co-anchor within a multi-tenant retail center.

The site sits at a signalized intersection of Patterson Road and Estelle Avenue, with direct access from State Route 108 and 26,000 average annual daily trips (AADT). The center also benefits from proximity to Riverbank Crossroads shopping center, which attracts over 8 million visitors annually.

The offering includes 10% rental increases every five years under a corporate-backed lease. The seller highlights a starting cap rate of 5.75%, along with a demographic profile including 132,864 residents within five miles and average annual household income of $131,214 within three miles.

Key Highlights

  • Brand‑new 2026 Grocery Outlet with 15‑year net lease to Grocery Outlet Inc.
  • 16,000 SF property in a multi‑tenant retail center with Grocery Outlet as a co‑anchor tenant.
  • Located at the signalized intersection of Patterson Road and Estelle Avenue with direct access from State Route 108.

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$373,726
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
4.94%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$7,474,520 $7.5M
Cap Rate 7%
$5,338,943 $5.3M
Cap Rate 9%
$4,152,511 $4.2M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 16,000 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$595.2K $37.20/SF
− Vacancy
−$61.3K −$3.83/SF
EGI
$533.9K $33.37/SF
− OpEx
−$160.2K −$10.01/SF
NOI
$373.7K $23.36/SF
Area
Stanislaus County, CA
Vacancy
10.30%
Lease Rate
$37.20 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$7,474,520
Cap Rate 7%
$5,338,943
Cap Rate 9%
$4,152,511

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Retail
$5.34M
$4.67M – $6.23M (±1% cap)
NOI $373,726 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 4.94%
Second Best
Specialty Retail
$3.55M
$3.10M – $4.14M (±1% cap)
NOI $248,314 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 3.28%
Theoretical Best
Office A
$7.44M
$6.51M – $8.68M (±1% cap)
NOI $520,566 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 6.88%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Grocery and convenience stores

Suggested Use

Top Pick Law Firm Real Estate Agency Spa & Massage Center Daycare Center Hair Salon Garden Center

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Lease Details

26,000 VPD
Traffic count
Yes
Highway access
Yes
Paved road access

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

399
Businesses Nearby
185k
Monthly Visits Nearby
Under-served
Demand for This Use

Foot Traffic Nearby

Dining 62% Shops & Services 38%
McDonald's Dining
28,319 visits/mo 0.3 miles
Dollar Tree Shops & Services
27,236 visits/mo 0.1 miles
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dining
20,247 visits/mo 0.1 miles
Starbucks Dining
15,219 visits/mo 0.2 miles
Taco Bell Dining
13,234 visits/mo 0.2 miles

Demographics for 95367, CA

25,421
Population
7,579
Households
3.4
Avg Household Size
34
Median Age
20%
College-Educated
81%
High-School Grad
5.3 sq mi
ZIP Area
4,796
Density / Sq Mi
$90,633
Median Household Income
$46,447
Median Earnings
$1,526
Median Rent
$444,700
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in West region

7% 2020
6.3% 2021
5.5% 2022
5.3% 2023
5.5% 2024
5.8% 2025
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Grocery and convenience store - Brand-new 2026 Grocery Outlet with a 15-year net lease to Grocery Outlet Inc. in a multi-tenant retail center.
Where is this grocery and convenience store located?
The property is located at 2338 Patterson Rd Riverbank, CA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $7,566,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: Brand‑new 2026 Grocery Outlet with 15‑year net lease to Grocery Outlet Inc.; 16,000 SF property in a multi‑tenant retail center with Grocery Outlet as a co‑anchor tenant.; Located at the signalized intersection of Patterson Road and Estelle Avenue with direct access from State Route 108.
More about this property
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