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T5C-Zoned Commercial Parcel
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1015-1057 El Camino Real, South San Francisco, CA 94080

Located at 1015-1057 El Camino Real in South San Francisco.

Property Size197,762 SF
Price / SF$293.28
Days on Market152

Property Features for 1015-1057 El Camino Real

General Information

Standard status Active
Size 197,762 SF
Property subtype Land, Multifamily, Retail
Zoning T5C
Investment Type Redevelopment
Listing Agency: Kidder Mathews
Listed By: Eric Shain · License #02050566
Source: Crexi
Added: Apr 2 Changed: Aug 30 Last Checked: Aug 30 at 3:58PM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Kidder Mathews

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

This commercial land parcel is located at 1015-1057 El Camino Real in South San Francisco, California. The property carries T5C zoning and is offered for sale as a commercial land asset.

Key Highlights

  • T5C zoning designation
  • Address: 1015‑1057 El Camino Real, South San Francisco, CA 94080

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$5,050,167
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
8.71%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$101,003,340 $101.0M
Cap Rate 7%
$72,145,243 $72.1M
Cap Rate 9%
$56,112,967 $56.1M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 197,762 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$7.57M $38.28/SF
− Vacancy
−$355.8K −$1.80/SF
EGI
$7.21M $36.48/SF
− OpEx
−$2.16M −$10.94/SF
NOI
$5.05M $25.54/SF
Area
San Mateo County, CA
Vacancy
4.70%
Lease Rate
$38.28 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$101,003,340
Cap Rate 7%
$72,145,243
Cap Rate 9%
$56,112,967

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Retail
$72.15M
$63.13M – $84.17M (±1% cap)
NOI $5,050,167 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 8.71%
Second Best
no second resolved use
Theoretical Best
Warehouse
$157.08M
$137.45M – $183.27M (±1% cap)
NOI $10,995,929 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 18.96%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Commercial land

Suggested Use

Top Pick Real Estate Agency Law Firm Restaurant Hair Salon Spa & Massage Center Nail Salon

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

1,002
Businesses Nearby
126k
Monthly Visits Nearby

Foot Traffic Nearby

Shops & Services 35% Dining 35% Groceries 28% Beauty & Spa 1%
Safeway Groceries
35,647 visits/mo 0.2 miles
McDonald's Dining
33,372 visits/mo 0.5 miles
Marathon Shops & Services
13,508 visits/mo 0.1 miles
Wells Fargo Shops & Services
12,980 visits/mo 0.1 miles
Bank of America Shops & Services
11,154 visits/mo 0.0 miles

Demographics for 94080, CA

66,592
Population
23,364
Households
2.9
Avg Household Size
40
Median Age
40%
College-Educated
86%
High-School Grad
10.2 sq mi
ZIP Area
6,529
Density / Sq Mi
$135,966
Median Household Income
$61,138
Median Earnings
$2,840
Median Rent
$1,159,500
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in West region

7% 2020
6.3% 2021
5.5% 2022
5.3% 2023
5.5% 2024
5.8% 2025
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Commercial land - Located at 1015-1057 El Camino Real in South San Francisco.
Where is this commercial land located?
The property is located at 1015-1057 El Camino Real South San Francisco, CA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $58,000,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: T5C zoning designation; Address: 1015‑1057 El Camino Real, South San Francisco, CA 94080
More about this property
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