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Santee Retail Investment Opportunity
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8915-8967 Carlton Hills Blvd, Santee, CA 92071

Multi-tenant retail plaza with high occupancy and strong NOI growth.

Property Size43,351 SF
Price / SF$401.70
Days on Market175

Property Features for 8915-8967 Carlton Hills Blvd

General Information

Standard status Active
Size 43,351 SF
Total Parking Spaces 191
Property subtype Retail
Zoning NC - Neighborhood Commercial
Occupancy 100%
Lease Type NNN
Investment Type Stabilized

Building Details

Year Built 1986
Year Renovated 2012
Buildings 3
Stories 1
Units 14
Tenancy Multi
Listing Agency: CBRE - San Diego
Listed By: Reg Kobzi · License #CA 00917639
Source: Crexi
Added: Feb 18 Changed: Aug 8 Last Checked: Aug 10 at 2:34PM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of CBRE - San Diego

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

Carlton Hills Plaza is a 43,351 square foot multi-tenant retail property located at 8915-8967 Carlton Hills Blvd & 9312 Mission Gorge Road in Santee, CA. This neighborhood shopping center presents an opportunity to acquire an income-producing asset within the Santee community. The property benefits from its location at the intersection of Carlton Hills Boulevard and Mission Gorge Road, near a retail corridor with national retailers such as Kohl’s, Lowe’s, Walmart, In-N-Out, and Costco. The center features a diverse tenant mix, including GTM Discount Stores (since 1991) and retailers and eateries like Mary’s Donuts, Marieta’s Mexican, Daboba, and The Chicken Shop. The plaza has maintained 100% occupancy for the past three years and over 98% for the preceding five years, demonstrating consistent performance and strong NOI growth.

Key Highlights

  • High‑traffic location at the intersection of Carlton Hills Boulevard and Mission Gorge Road.
  • Stable, income‑producing asset with strong NOI growth.
  • Enjoy 100% occupancy for the past three years and over 98% for the preceding five years.

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$680,958
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
3.91%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$13,619,160 $13.6M
Cap Rate 7%
$9,727,971 $9.7M
Cap Rate 9%
$7,566,200 $7.6M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 43,351 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$1.04M $24.00/SF
− Vacancy
−$67.6K −$1.56/SF
EGI
$972.8K $22.44/SF
− OpEx
−$291.8K −$6.73/SF
NOI
$681.0K $15.71/SF
Area
San Diego County, CA
Vacancy
6.50%
Lease Rate
$24.00 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$13,619,160
Cap Rate 7%
$9,727,971
Cap Rate 9%
$7,566,200

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Retail
$9.73M
$8.51M – $11.35M (±1% cap)
NOI $680,958 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 3.91%
Second Best
no second resolved use
Theoretical Best
Office A
$19.86M
$17.38M – $23.17M (±1% cap)
NOI $1,390,339 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 7.98%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Shopping centers

Suggested Use

Top Pick Law Firm Parking Lot & Garage Building Supply Hotel & Motel (Bike/Boat/Book/etc) Store Big Box & Wholesale Store

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

932
Businesses Nearby
98k
Monthly Visits Nearby
Well-served
Demand for This Use

Foot Traffic Nearby

Dining 46% Groceries 28% Shops & Services 22% Beauty & Spa 2%
Sprouts Farmers Market Groceries
27,104 visits/mo 0.2 miles
Starbucks Dining
24,604 visits/mo 0.1 miles
Jack in the Box Dining
18,756 visits/mo 0.2 miles
7-Eleven Shops & Services
9,860 visits/mo 0.2 miles
Cox Communications Shops & Services
4,771 visits/mo 0.2 miles

Demographics for 92071, CA

60,163
Population
21,732
Households
2.8
Avg Household Size
39
Median Age
33%
College-Educated
93%
High-School Grad
18.8 sq mi
ZIP Area
3,200
Density / Sq Mi
$105,603
Median Household Income
$57,045
Median Earnings
$2,202
Median Rent
$654,800
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in West region

7% 2020
6.3% 2021
5.5% 2022
5.3% 2023
5.5% 2024
5.8% 2025
Rey
Questions? Ask Rey
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Shopping center - Multi-tenant retail plaza with high occupancy and strong NOI growth.
Where is this shopping center located?
The property is located at 8915-8967 Carlton Hills Blvd Santee, CA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $17,414,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: High‑traffic location at the intersection of Carlton Hills Boulevard and Mission Gorge Road.; Stable, income‑producing asset with strong NOI growth.; Enjoy **100% occupancy for the past three years** and over 98% for the preceding five years.
(858) 546-4604 Call to check price and availability
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