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Goleta Target NNN-Leased Property
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6865 Hollister Ave, Goleta, CA 93117

Premier single-tenant Target property in Goleta, Santa Barbara County.

Property Size116,612 SF
Lot Size7.64 Acres
Price / SF$545.40
Days on Market201

Property Features for 6865 Hollister Ave

General Information

Standard status Active
Size 116,612 SF
Lot size 7.64 Acres
Property subtype Retail
Listing Agency: Keller Williams Realty
Listed By: Bill Bauman · License #CA RE Lic. #00969493
Source: Nmrk
Added: Jan 27 Changed: Aug 15 Last Checked: Aug 16 at 4:39AM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Keller Williams Realty

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

This is a rare investment opportunity to acquire a fee simple interest in a single-tenant, NNN-leased Target property in Goleta, Santa Barbara County. The retail asset features a newly constructed, full-size Target store totaling approximately 116,612 square feet, positioned on a 7.64-acre site. The property is secured by a 20-year lease with Target Corporation. The lease commenced just over five years ago and provides for 10% rental escalations every five years, as well as four additional ten-year renewal options. Target selected this location in 2018. Goleta is a market bolstered by demographics and a thriving economy. The city is home to the University of California, Santa Barbara, with an enrollment of 26,325 students. The property serves a trade area, encompassing the communities of Santa Barbara, Carpinteria, Montecito, Solvang, Santa Ynez, and Goleta itself, together boasting a population exceeding 153,000 residents and an average annual household income of $131,000. Goleta’s retail market generated over $1.05 billion in sales, highlighting the area’s retail vitality.

Key Highlights

  • Long‑term (20‑year) NNN lease with Target Corporation, providing stable and passive income.
  • Located in Goleta, a highly desirable coastal community within Santa Barbara County.
  • Newly constructed, full‑size Target store (approximately 116,612 square feet) on a 7.64‑acre site.**

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$1,826,774
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
2.87%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$36,535,480 $36.5M
Cap Rate 7%
$26,096,771 $26.1M
Cap Rate 9%
$20,297,489 $20.3M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 116,612 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$2.52M $21.60/SF
− Vacancy
−$83.1K −$0.71/SF
EGI
$2.44M $20.89/SF
− OpEx
−$608.9K −$5.22/SF
NOI
$1.83M $15.67/SF
Area
Santa Barbara County, CA
Vacancy
3.30%
Lease Rate
$21.60 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
25.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$36,535,480
Cap Rate 7%
$26,096,771
Cap Rate 9%
$20,297,489

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Specialty Retail
$26.10M
$22.83M – $30.45M (±1% cap)
NOI $1,826,774 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 2.87%
Second Best
Retail
$25.89M
$22.65M – $30.20M (±1% cap)
NOI $1,812,150 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 2.85%
Theoretical Best
Multifamily LT 5
$36.60M
$32.02M – $42.70M (±1% cap)
NOI $2,561,979 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 4.03%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Isalis (Bike/Boat/Book/etc) Store Party City Party Supply Store Skunk Funk Big Box & Wholesale Store Carl's Trading Co Hat Shop Bushka's Kitchen LLC (Bike/Boat/Book/etc) Store

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

736
Businesses Nearby
605k
Monthly Visits Nearby
Balanced
Demand for This Use

Foot Traffic Nearby

Superstores 38% Dining 17% Home Improvements & Furnishings 15% Apparel 9%
Costco Wholesale Superstores
123,769 visits/mo 0.5 miles
Target Superstores
108,073 visits/mo 0.1 miles
The Home Depot Home Improvements & Furnishings
55,907 visits/mo 0.3 miles
Ross Dress for Less Apparel
35,008 visits/mo 0.4 miles
Best Buy Electronics
31,048 visits/mo 0.5 miles

Demographics for 93117, CA

53,430
Population
18,208
Households
2.9
Avg Household Size
28
Median Age
49%
College-Educated
90%
High-School Grad
168.1 sq mi
ZIP Area
318
Density / Sq Mi
$85,711
Median Household Income
$28,542
Median Earnings
$1,980
Median Rent
$1,021,700
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in West region

7% 2020
6.3% 2021
5.5% 2022
5.3% 2023
5.5% 2024
5.8% 2025
Rey
Questions? Ask Rey
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Grocery and convenience store - Premier single-tenant Target property in Goleta, Santa Barbara County.
Where is this grocery and convenience store located?
The property is located at 6865 Hollister Ave Goleta, CA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is Off market.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: Long‑term (20‑year) NNN lease with Target Corporation, providing stable and passive income.; Located in Goleta, a highly desirable coastal community within Santa Barbara County.; Newly constructed, full‑size Target store (approximately 116,612 square feet) on a 7.64‑acre site.**
More about this property
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