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    3823 Guess Rd Durham, NC 27705

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    For Sale
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    93,048 SF shopping center in growing Durham market.

    Type:Retail
    Property size:
    93,048 SF
    Added:
    Nov 21, 2025
    Days on Market:
    134
    Last Refresh:
    Apr 2 at 12:24 am

    Property Features for 3823 Guess Rd

    General Information

    Standard status
    Active
    Size
    93,048 SF
    Property subtype
    Retail

    Building Details

    Year Built
    1985

    We can help!

    Listing Contact
    Jay Taylor, CCIM

    Listing agent Jay Taylor, CCIM

    Listing office

    Listing date Nov 21, 2025

    Source Svn

    Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified.

    All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Jay Taylor, CCIM

    Overview

    Neighborhood Shopping Center For Sale

    The subject property features a 93,048 square foot neighborhood shopping center, currently 75% occupied and anchored by Ollie's Discount Outlet. Positioned in the North Durham market, the center is located at the signalized intersection of Guess Road and Horton Road. The location offers full-movement access points along both Horton and Guess roads. The property is situated in the northern portion of Durham, approximately three miles northeast of the central business district. The intersection is populated with national, regional, and local retailers, including Starbucks, Walgreens, Dollar Tree, Food Lion, and Harris Teeter. The center is suitable for a value-add investor to revitalize the property. Recent leases have been executed at below-market levels, and lease-up of the current vacant space may allow for further upside. The property also presents potential outparcel development opportunities.
    Property Profile Insight Report Location Intelligence

    Current Use by Public Records

    TDCI Big Box & Wholesale Store Queens of the City Entertainment Theater & Performing Art Venue Bithiah Banquets Hotel & Motel SR22 Insurance Marketing & Advertising Ego Barber Lounge Barber Shop

    Suggested Use

    Restaurant Real Estate Agency Law Firm Building Supply Spa & Massage Center Dental Office Big Box & Wholesale Store Auto Repair Shop Hair Salon Nail Salon

    Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

    Similar Places Nearby

    • Willowdale Shopping Center — 3823 Guess Rd, Durham, NC 27705
    • Coinstar Kiosk | Bitcoin ATM — Harris Teeter Pharmacy, 1501 Horton Rd, Durham, NC 27705
    • Coinstar Kiosk | Bitcoin ATM — Food Lion, 3808 Guess Rd, Durham, NC 27705
    • Cross Creek Shopping Center — 3808 Guess Rd, Durham, NC 27705

    Location Insight

    • Map
    • Local Demand
    City
    Durham
    County
    Durham
    State
    North Carolina
    Longitude
    -78.9304
    Latitude
    36.0587

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    FAQs

    What type of property is this?
    Shopping center - 93,048 SF shopping center in growing Durham market.
    Where is this shopping center located?
    The property is located at 3823 Guess Rd Durham, NC.
    What are key features of this property?
    This property features: Anchored by Ollie's Discount Outlet in a growing North Durham market.; Located at the signalized intersection of Guess Road and Horton Road with high visibility and excellent access.; Value‑add opportunity through revitalization and lease up of vacant space.
    (919) 233-8077
    We can help!
    Listing Contact
    Jay Taylor, CCIM
    Learn More
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    Realmo Value Estimations

    Realmo estimates a property’s market value using a proprietary methodology that incorporates public data and user-submitted information. This cumulative value is generated by integrating a variety of conventional and innovative methods. 

    Disclaimer

    These figures are not official appraisals and should not be used as a substitute for a valuation performed by a licensed appraiser.
    Actual market value may differ due to factors not captured in the data. Estimates are offered for informational purposes only, and users should conduct independent research before making financial or investment decisions.
    By using this feature, you acknowledge that Realmo is not responsible for actions taken based on these estimates.

    AI approach

    Realmo AI Method estimates property value using machine learning models trained on millions of comparable listings, transactions, and market signals. It analyzes property features, location intelligence data, and current market dynamics to predict the most probable market value in real time.

    Realmo CapRate Calculation

    Realmo calculates the Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate) to help estimate a property's potential return on investment. The Cap Rate is a fundamental metric in commercial real estate that measures the relationship between a property's net operating income and its market value.

    How We Calculate Cap Rate

    Cap Rate Formula:
    Cap Rate (%) = (Net Operating Income / Property Value) × 100

    Net Operating Income (NOI) Formula:
    NOI = Area × Lease Rate × (1 - Vacancy Rate) × (1 - Operating Expense Ratio)

    Components

    Net Operating Income (NOI) represents the annual income a property generates after operating expenses:

    • Area: Building square footage from property records
    • Lease Rate: Annual $/sqft based on market data for the property type and geographic location
    • Vacancy Rate: Percentage of unoccupied space based on market data for the property type and location
    • Operating Expense Ratio: Operating costs as a percentage of income, varies by property type

    Property Value is derived from:

    • Recent sale price (if available)
    • Statistical models using comparable sales
    • AI-powered valuation estimates

    Example Calculation

    For a 100,000 sqft Office Building:

    • Lease Rate: $25.00/sqft/year (market data for Office in this area)
    • Vacancy Rate: 8% (market data for Office in this area)
    • Operating Expense Ratio: 35% (typical for Office properties)
    • Property Value: $15,000,000

    Step 1: Calculate NOI

    NOI = 100,000 × $25.00 × (1 - 0.08) × (1 - 0.35)
    NOI = 100,000 × $25.00 × 0.92 × 0.65
    NOI = $1,495,000/year

    Step 2: Calculate Cap Rate

    Cap Rate = ($1,495,000 / $15,000,000) × 100
    Cap Rate = 9.97%

    Property Type Considerations

    Net Operating Income calculations vary by property type due to different operating expense ratios:

    • Office: Higher expenses (30-40%) for HVAC, utilities, maintenance
    • Retail: Moderate expenses (25-35%) for common area maintenance
    • Industrial/Warehouse: Lower expenses (15-25%) for minimal tenant services
    • Multifamily: Moderate expenses (35-45%) including property management
    • Self-Storage: Lower expenses (25-35%) due to minimal maintenance

    Market lease rates and vacancy rates are specific to each property type and geographic location, reflecting local market conditions.

    Disclaimer

    These calculations are estimates for informational purposes only and should not be used as a substitute for professional financial analysis or appraisal.

    • Cap Rate calculations depend on market data that may change over time
    • Actual operating expenses, lease rates, and vacancy rates may differ from market averages
    • Individual property conditions, lease terms, and tenant quality significantly impact actual NOI
    • Property value estimates are approximations and not official appraisals
    • Cap rates vary widely by market, property condition, and investment risk profile

    Professional Guidance Recommended: Before making any investment or financial decisions, consult with licensed appraisers, commercial real estate brokers, and financial advisors who can evaluate your specific property and circumstances.
    By using this feature, you acknowledge that Realmo is not responsible for investment decisions or actions taken based on these estimates.

    Cap approach

    Capitalization Method calculates value based on estimated net operating income (NOI) and applying a market-based capitalization rate (cap rate), we estimate what a typical investor might be willing to pay for it.

    Comparable approach

    Comparable estimate is based on recent sales of similar nearby properties, adjusted for factors like size, condition, and location.

    Relative

    Relative property class coefficient uses factors that account for typical price differences between various asset types (e.g., retail vs. industrial) to provide a more accurate market-aligned estimate.

    Geo

    Comparable Sales Method, enhanced by Geo coefficients — location-based adjustment factors that reflect differences in price levels across neighborhoods, cities, or regions ensuring a more accurate, market-sensitive valuation.

    Stat Estimate

    This method estimates value based on actual market adjusted recent (~5 years) sales of comparable properties around by location and property type.

    • Ranges - area data calculated by industry standard IQR Outlier Removal Method
    • Range-from: 75% of all similar sales ($/sqft) are above this value
    • Range-to: 75% of all similar sales ($/sqft) are below this value
    AI Estimate

    This method estimates value based on AI market estimation of comparable properties around by location and property type.

    • Ranges - area data calculated by industry standard IQR Outlier Removal Method
    • Range-from: 75% of all estimations ($/sqft) are above this value
    • Range-to: 75% of all estimations ($/sqft) are below this value
    Alternative use

    Estimate considers the property’s potential value if used for a different purpose-based on zoning, demand, and market feasibility.

    More about this property
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