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    Property profile & analytics

    15300 Cotton Ln Surprise, AZ 85388-9613

    • Drug stores
    • 13,015 SF
    • 2.89 lot acres
    OFF-MARKET
    Value Estimations
    $9,020,000
    Show details
    Cap Rate Potential
    Location Intelligence
    Property ID
    US07-1985683
    The Realmo ID is a unique identifier assigned to every property, incorporating country codes and precise geo-coordinates for 300x300-foot land blocks. It enables standardized data collection and seamless integration of disparate sources such as ownership, tax, title data and physical specifications. By aggregating current and historical records, the Realmo ID powers advanced analytics and delivers deep, verifiable insights for real estate professionals.

    Current Use by Public Records

    • Drug stores

    Property Details for 15300 Cotton Ln

    Year built
    2014
    Construction
    CONCRETE
    Lot size
    2.89 lot acres
    Property size
    13,015 SF
    Zone code
    PAD
    Property type
    Drug stores
    APN
    502-87-916
    APU
    50287916

    Value Estimations

    based on Realmo’s proprietary methodology

    • Comparable approach

      Method
      Estimation
      Statistic Estimate
      $9,350,000
      Market price range: $2.62M - $14.5M
      AI Estimate
      $8,688,000
      Market price range: $2.40M - $14.5M

    • Alternative Use

      Use
      Estimation
      RETAIL STORES
      $8,300,000
      Current use
      COMMERCIAL (GENERAL)
      $10,445,000
      Change: +26% Conversion: Easy
      RESTAURANT
      $8,030,000
      Change: -3% Conversion: Easy

    Get a detailed, property-specific valuation — fast and free

    Location Insight

    • Map
    • Local Demand
    City
    Surprise
    County
    Maricopa
    State
    Arizona
    Longitude
    -112.428
    Latitude
    33.6236
    CBSA code
    38060
    CBSA name
    PHOENIX-MESA-SCOTTSDALE, AZ METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA

    Property Tax & Assessments

    Tax date
    Tax Amount
    Assessed Land Value
    Assessed Improvement Value
    Total Assessed Value
    Applied Tax Rate
    Land Market Value
    Improvement Market Value
    Total Market Value
    2023
    $37,125
    $0.00
    $0.00
    $908,334
    -
    $3,147,200
    $2,357,857
    $5,505,057

    Comparable in this City

    • Value Estimation by Request
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    • Value Estimation by Request
      1,216 SF

      16986 Waddell Rd

      RETAIL STORES (PERSONAL SERVICES) • 1,216 SF
      16986 Waddell Rd, Surprise, AZ 85388
      View Details
    • Value Estimation
      $5,535,000
      21,702 SF

      17050 Custer Ln

      SHOW ROOM, WAREHOUSE • 21,702 SF
      17050 Custer Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388-9000
      View Details
    • Value Estimation
      $1,705,000
      3,712 SF

      17063 Greenway Rd

      FINANCIAL BUILDING • 3,712 SF
      17063 Greenway Rd, Surprise, AZ 85388-9605
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    • Value Estimation
      $28,510,000
      104,759 SF

      15215 Cotton Ln

      GROCERY, SUPERMARKET • 104,759 SF
      15215 Cotton Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388-9607
      View Details
    • Value Estimation
      $14,390,000
      11,737 SF

      16575 Waddell Rd

      CANNABIS DISPENSARY • 11,737 SF
      16575 Waddell Rd, Surprise, AZ 85388-9627
      View Details

    Similar Nearby for Sale

    • Contact for pricing

      Freestanding Bank Pad with Drive-Thru

      Freestanding 3,804 SF bank pad with drive-thru for sale.
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      2,820 SF

      Retail Space Near Loop-303

      Retail space adjacent to new apartment development near Loop-303.
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      Improved Land Parcel For Sale

      12-acre improved commercial land, development ready with freeway access.
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      Land for Diverse Commercial Use

      Land available for retail, office, medical, entertainment, and hotel.
      Sec Cactus Rd & Cotton Ln, Surprise, AZ 85388
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      Commercial Lots in Growing Area

      Commercial land for sale in rapidly growing Surprise, Arizona.
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      Land Parcel in Glendale, Arizona

      Land available near Loop 303 and Peoria Avenue.
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    Similar Nearby for Lease

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      336,473 SF

      Cotton Ln Retail Opportunity

      Surprise, AZ Retail Space Available
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      3,051 SF

      Retail Space in Mixed-Use Development

      Retail space available in a mixed-use development.
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      Retail and Restaurant Opportunity

      Retail and restaurant spaces available in Surprise, Arizona.
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      6,800 SF

      Retail Space with Drive-Thru Potential

      Speculative retail space available for lease in Surprise, Arizona.
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      New Retail Hub in Surprise

      Dynamic shopping center with high-end grocer and retail spaces.
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      Retail Space in Busy Center

      Neighborhood shopping center with great visibility and diverse tenant mix.
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    Property Visit Statistics

    • Visits by month
      31.7k
    • Visitors by month
      19.0k
    • Avg Time on site
      11 min
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    Surprise, AZ 85388-9613
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    Realmo Value Estimations

    Realmo estimates a property’s market value using a proprietary methodology that incorporates public data and user-submitted information. This cumulative value is generated by integrating a variety of conventional and innovative methods. 

    Disclaimer

    These figures are not official appraisals and should not be used as a substitute for a valuation performed by a licensed appraiser.
    Actual market value may differ due to factors not captured in the data. Estimates are offered for informational purposes only, and users should conduct independent research before making financial or investment decisions.
    By using this feature, you acknowledge that Realmo is not responsible for actions taken based on these estimates.

    AI approach

    Realmo AI Method estimates property value using machine learning models trained on millions of comparable listings, transactions, and market signals. It analyzes property features, location intelligence data, and current market dynamics to predict the most probable market value in real time.

    Realmo CapRate Calculation

    Realmo calculates the Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate) to help estimate a property's potential return on investment. The Cap Rate is a fundamental metric in commercial real estate that measures the relationship between a property's net operating income and its market value.

    How We Calculate Cap Rate

    Cap Rate Formula:
    Cap Rate (%) = (Net Operating Income / Property Value) × 100

    Net Operating Income (NOI) Formula:
    NOI = Area × Lease Rate × (1 - Vacancy Rate) × (1 - Operating Expense Ratio)

    Components

    Net Operating Income (NOI) represents the annual income a property generates after operating expenses:

    • Area: Building square footage from property records
    • Lease Rate: Annual $/sqft based on market data for the property type and geographic location
    • Vacancy Rate: Percentage of unoccupied space based on market data for the property type and location
    • Operating Expense Ratio: Operating costs as a percentage of income, varies by property type

    Property Value is derived from:

    • Recent sale price (if available)
    • Statistical models using comparable sales
    • AI-powered valuation estimates

    Example Calculation

    For a 100,000 sqft Office Building:

    • Lease Rate: $25.00/sqft/year (market data for Office in this area)
    • Vacancy Rate: 8% (market data for Office in this area)
    • Operating Expense Ratio: 35% (typical for Office properties)
    • Property Value: $15,000,000

    Step 1: Calculate NOI

    NOI = 100,000 × $25.00 × (1 - 0.08) × (1 - 0.35)
    NOI = 100,000 × $25.00 × 0.92 × 0.65
    NOI = $1,495,000/year

    Step 2: Calculate Cap Rate

    Cap Rate = ($1,495,000 / $15,000,000) × 100
    Cap Rate = 9.97%

    Property Type Considerations

    Net Operating Income calculations vary by property type due to different operating expense ratios:

    • Office: Higher expenses (30-40%) for HVAC, utilities, maintenance
    • Retail: Moderate expenses (25-35%) for common area maintenance
    • Industrial/Warehouse: Lower expenses (15-25%) for minimal tenant services
    • Multifamily: Moderate expenses (35-45%) including property management
    • Self-Storage: Lower expenses (25-35%) due to minimal maintenance

    Market lease rates and vacancy rates are specific to each property type and geographic location, reflecting local market conditions.

    Disclaimer

    These calculations are estimates for informational purposes only and should not be used as a substitute for professional financial analysis or appraisal.

    • Cap Rate calculations depend on market data that may change over time
    • Actual operating expenses, lease rates, and vacancy rates may differ from market averages
    • Individual property conditions, lease terms, and tenant quality significantly impact actual NOI
    • Property value estimates are approximations and not official appraisals
    • Cap rates vary widely by market, property condition, and investment risk profile

    Professional Guidance Recommended: Before making any investment or financial decisions, consult with licensed appraisers, commercial real estate brokers, and financial advisors who can evaluate your specific property and circumstances.
    By using this feature, you acknowledge that Realmo is not responsible for investment decisions or actions taken based on these estimates.

    Cap approach

    Capitalization Method calculates value based on estimated net operating income (NOI) and applying a market-based capitalization rate (cap rate), we estimate what a typical investor might be willing to pay for it.

    Comparable approach

    Comparable estimate is based on recent sales of similar nearby properties, adjusted for factors like size, condition, and location.

    Relative

    Relative property class coefficient uses factors that account for typical price differences between various asset types (e.g., retail vs. industrial) to provide a more accurate market-aligned estimate.

    Geo

    Comparable Sales Method, enhanced by Geo coefficients — location-based adjustment factors that reflect differences in price levels across neighborhoods, cities, or regions ensuring a more accurate, market-sensitive valuation.

    Stat Estimate

    This method estimates value based on actual market adjusted recent (~5 years) sales of comparable properties around by location and property type.

    • Ranges - area data calculated by industry standard IQR Outlier Removal Method
    • Range-from: 75% of all similar sales ($/sqft) are above this value
    • Range-to: 75% of all similar sales ($/sqft) are below this value
    AI Estimate

    This method estimates value based on AI market estimation of comparable properties around by location and property type.

    • Ranges - area data calculated by industry standard IQR Outlier Removal Method
    • Range-from: 75% of all estimations ($/sqft) are above this value
    • Range-to: 75% of all estimations ($/sqft) are below this value
    Alternative use

    Estimate considers the property’s potential value if used for a different purpose-based on zoning, demand, and market feasibility.

    More about this property
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