Retail Space in Centennial
For Sale
Contact for pricing
7915-7951 Winchester Rd, Memphis, TN 38125
Retail space within Centennial Crossing, anchored by national tenants including Costco, Lowe's, PetSmart, Walgreens, and Starbucks.
Property Size49,548 SF
Price / SF$150
Days on Market298
Property Features for 7915-7951 Winchester Rd
General Information
Standard status
Active
Size
49,548 SF
Property subtype
RETAIL
Site & Location
Traffic Count
92,182 vehicles/day
Highway Access
Yes
Listing Agency:
Cushman & Wakefield | Phoenix
(602) 954-9000
Listed By:
Shane Carter · License #SA673156000
(602) 253-7900
Source:
Moodyscre
Added: Nov 21, 2025
Changed: Sep 9
Last Checked: Sep 14 at 11:04AM
Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Cushman & Wakefield | Phoenix
Investment Insights
Based on property information with market context.
This retail space is located within Centennial Crossing shopping center, supported by national tenants including Costco, Lowe's, PetSmart, Walgreens, and Starbucks. Household incomes average over $122,000 within a 5-mile radius.
The center is approximately 10.5 miles from Interstate 385 (Bill Morris Parkway), which carries 92,182 VPD. The property is directly across from the FedEx World Headquarters.
The center is approximately 10.5 miles from Interstate 385 (Bill Morris Parkway), which carries 92,182 VPD. The property is directly across from the FedEx World Headquarters.
Key Highlights
- Located in Centennial Crossing shopping center anchored by national tenants including Costco, Lowe's, PetSmart, Walgreens, and Starbucks
- Directly across from the FedEx World Headquarters
- About 0.5 miles from Interstate 385 (Bill Morris Parkway) with 92,182 VPD
Financial Insights
Estimated NOI and Cap Rate
NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$574,360
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
7.73%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates
Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality.
Typical U.S. stable-market ranges:
Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+)
Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand)
Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically)
Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher)
Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk)
Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5%
Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5%
Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term
Rules of thumb:
Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%).
Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C.
Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI.
Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$11,487,200
$11.5M
Cap Rate 7%
$8,205,143
$8.2M
Cap Rate 9%
$6,381,778
$6.4M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 49,548 SF
Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent.
EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs.
OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements.
NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$891.9K $18.00/SF
− Vacancy
−$71.3K −$1.44/SF
EGI
$820.5K $16.56/SF
− OpEx
−$246.2K −$4.97/SF
NOI
$574.4K $11.59/SF
Area
ZIP 38125
Vacancy
8.00%
Lease Rate
$18.00 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates
Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality.
Typical U.S. stable-market ranges:
Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+)
Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand)
Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically)
Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher)
Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk)
Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5%
Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5%
Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term
Rules of thumb:
Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%).
Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C.
Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI.
Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$11,487,200
Cap Rate 7%
$8,205,143
Cap Rate 9%
$6,381,778
Alternative Uses
Best Use
Retail
$8.21M
$7.18M – $9.57M
NOI $574,360 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 7.73%
Second Best
—
—
no second resolved use
Theoretical Best
Office A
$13.15M
$11.51M – $15.34M
NOI $920,404 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 12.38%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.
Property Analytics
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Current Use
Lease Details
92,182 VPD
Traffic count
Yes
Highway access
Location Intelligence
Trade Area within ½ mile
599
Businesses Nearby
618k
Monthly Visits Nearby
Well-served
Demand for This Use
Explore this area
Business Placement
Foot Traffic Nearby
Dining 31%
Shops & Services 24%
Superstores 17%
Apparel 11%
Costco Wholesale
Superstores
107,482 visits/mo
0.2 miles
Kroger
Groceries
46,014 visits/mo
0.3 miles
Burlington
Apparel
29,809 visits/mo
0.2 miles
DICK'S Sporting Goods
Apparel
26,695 visits/mo
0.4 miles
Murphy USA
Shops & Services
25,184 visits/mo
0.4 miles
Demographics for 38125, TN
40,970
Population
16,435
Households
2.5
Avg Household Size
37
Median Age
37%
College-Educated
95%
High-School Grad
19.0 sq mi
ZIP Area
2,156
Density / Sq Mi
$83,184
Median Household Income
$45,793
Median Earnings
$1,440
Median Rent
$230,400
Median Home Value
Check the figures for this property
Cap Rate, Value Estimation, Potential NOI and more
View Realmo Analytics
Market
Vacancy Rate% for Retail in Memphis, TN
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Frequently Asked Questions
What type of property is this?
Shopping center - Retail space within Centennial Crossing, anchored by national tenants including Costco, Lowe's, PetSmart, Walgreens, and Starbucks.
Where is this shopping center located?
The property is located at 7915-7951 Winchester Rd Memphis, TN.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $7,432,200.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: Located in Centennial Crossing shopping center anchored by national tenants including Costco, Lowe's, PetSmart, Walgreens, and Starbucks; Directly across from the FedEx World Headquarters; About 0.5 miles from Interstate 385 (Bill Morris Parkway) with 92,182 VPD
