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Herndon Flex Warehouse For Sale
For Sale
$535,000
Pending

631 Carlisle Dr #631, Herndon, VA 20170

Flex warehouse with 14' roll-up door and 18' ceilings.

Property Size1,700 SF
Days on Market241

Property Features for 631 Carlisle Dr #631

General Information

Standard status Pending
Size 1,700 SF
Property subtype Commercial

Taxes and HOA fees

Annual Taxes $4,951

Amenities

Industrial Park

Building Details

Year Built 1980
Listing Agency: EAST COAST COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REALTY, LLC
Listed By: GEORGE DUNGAN · License #0225201842
Source: Corcoran
Added: Dec 11, 2025 Changed: Aug 8 Last Checked: Aug 8 at 5:28AM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of EAST COAST COMMERCIAL INVESTMENT REALTY, LLC

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

This flex-type warehouse, offered for sale, features a primarily open space layout with a single restroom. The property includes a 14-foot high roll-up grade-level door and an 18-foot clear ceiling height. The total size is approximately 1,700 square feet. It is located within the Carlisle Drive Business Center, which hosts a mix of contractors, light manufacturing, and distribution businesses. The location is just off Elden Street, near the Fairfax County Parkway and Reston.

Key Highlights

  • Functional warehouse space offering 1,700 sq ft.
  • Convenient location near Fairfax County Parkway and Reston.
  • 14' high roll‑up grade‑level door provides easy access.

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$25,221
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
4.71%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$504,420 $504.4K
Cap Rate 7%
$360,300 $360.3K
Cap Rate 9%
$280,233 $280.2K
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 1,700 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$40.8K $24.00/SF
− Vacancy
−$2.0K −$1.18/SF
EGI
$38.8K $22.82/SF
− OpEx
−$13.6K −$7.99/SF
NOI
$25.2K $14.84/SF
Area
Loudoun County, VA
Vacancy
4.90%
Lease Rate
$24.00 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
35.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$504,420
Cap Rate 7%
$360,300
Cap Rate 9%
$280,233

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Flex RnD
$360.3K
$315.3K – $420.4K (±1% cap)
NOI $25,221 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 4.71%
Second Best
Warehouse
$190.8K
$167.0K – $222.6K (±1% cap)
NOI $13,357 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 2.50%
Theoretical Best
Specialty Retail
$532.8K
$466.2K – $621.6K (±1% cap)
NOI $37,294 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 6.97%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Flex space

Suggested Use

Top Pick Building Supply Auto Parts Store Auto Repair Shop Electrical Service Big Box & Wholesale Store Storage Facility

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

3,375
Businesses Nearby
Under-served
Demand for This Use

Demographics for 20170, VA

42,756
Population
14,084
Households
3
Avg Household Size
36
Median Age
57%
College-Educated
87%
High-School Grad
8.8 sq mi
ZIP Area
4,859
Density / Sq Mi
$157,875
Median Household Income
$59,119
Median Earnings
$2,224
Median Rent
$625,600
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Industrial in South region

6% 2019
6.5% 2020
4% 2021
3.5% 2022
6% 2023
7.6% 2024
7.9% 2025
Rey
Questions? Ask Rey
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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Flex space - Flex warehouse with 14' roll-up door and 18' ceilings.
Where is this flex space located?
The property is located at 631 Carlisle Dr #631 Herndon, VA.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $535,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: Functional warehouse space offering 1,700 sq ft.; Convenient location near Fairfax County Parkway and Reston.; 14' high roll‑up grade‑level door provides easy access.
More about this property
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