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Retail Strip Center Opportunity
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3402 East Thomas Road, Phoenix, AZ 85018

Retail strip center offered for sale in Central Phoenix’s Arcadia trade area.

Property Size19,579 SF
Price / SF$173.66
Days on Market89

Property Features for 3402 East Thomas Road

General Information

Standard status Active
Size 19,579 SF
Class B
Property subtype Retail
Occupancy 50%
Lease Type Gross

Building Details

Year Built 1960
Units 7
Tenancy Multi
Listing Agency: Marcus & Millichap - Phoenix
Listed By: Omar Rascon · License #SA704894000
Source: Crexi
Added: Jun 9 Changed: Aug 21 Last Checked: Sep 4 at 6:51PM

Displayed information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. All listing content including descriptions, pricing, images are the copyrighted material of Marcus & Millichap - Phoenix

Investment Insights

Based on property information with market context.

This retail strip center, Shops on Thomas, is offered for sale in the heart of Central Phoenix’s Arcadia trade area. The property is positioned to serve a dense infill customer base supported by surrounding established residential neighborhoods and a concentration of national retailers.

Public remarks describe strong local demand indicators within a five-mile radius, including more than 293,000 residents and nearly 687,000 daytime employees, along with average household incomes exceeding $104,000. The Phoenix metropolitan area is also noted as a fast-growing market with sustained population growth and significant corporate investment.

A planned 320-unit multifamily development nearby is expected to increase housing density and consumer demand, supporting retail growth within one of Phoenix’s established urban corridors.

Key Highlights

  • Retail strip center in Central Phoenix’s Arcadia trade area
  • Year built: 1960
  • More than 293,000 residents within a 5‑mile radius

Financial Insights

Estimated NOI and Cap Rate

NOI = area × lease_rate × (100 − vacancy) / 100 × (1 − expense_ratio). Net Operating Income — what the owner takes home each year before mortgage payments and income tax. Effective rent (asking rent minus vacancy losses) minus operating costs (taxes, insurance, maintenance, management).
NOI / Yr
$221,286
Cap rate = NOI / list price × 100. Capitalization rate — annual return on a fully cash purchase, before financing. NOI divided by price. Higher means more income per dollar invested, but usually also more risk or older condition. 5–8% is typical for stabilized commercial property; double digits often signal distressed deals.
Cap Rate
6.51%
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$4,425,720 $4.4M
Cap Rate 7%
$3,161,229 $3.2M
Cap Rate 9%
$2,458,733 $2.5M
Market Conditions
NOI Build-Up for 19,579 SF Vacancy — income lost from leasable area expected to sit empty during the year, subtracted from gross rent. EGI (Effective Gross Income) — gross rent minus vacancy losses, the realistic income before paying operating costs. OpEx (Operating Expenses) — recurring costs to operate the property (property tax, insurance, utilities, maintenance, management); excludes financing and capital improvements. NOI (Net Operating Income) — income a property generates after operating costs but before financing and taxes.
Gross rent
$352.4K $18.00/SF
− Vacancy
−$36.3K −$1.85/SF
EGI
$316.1K $16.15/SF
− OpEx
−$94.8K −$4.84/SF
NOI
$221.3K $11.30/SF
Area
Phoenix, AZ
Vacancy
10.30%
Lease Rate
$18.00 /SF/Yr
Expense Ratio
30.00%
Simulate Cap Rate and NOI
Suggested Prices Based on Cap Rates Cap rates vary significantly by property type, market, and asset quality. Typical U.S. stable-market ranges: Multifamily — 4.5% to 6.5% (Class A in primary markets often sub-5%; Class C in secondary markets 6%+) Industrial / Logistics — 5.0% to 7.0% (compressed heavily in recent years due to e-commerce demand) Office — 6.5% to 9%+ (wide spread post-2020; CBD Class A vs. suburban Class B varies dramatically) Retail — 5.5% to 8.5% (grocery-anchored on the low end, unanchored strip centers higher) Hospitality / Hotels — 7.5% to 10%+ (higher due to operational risk) Self-Storage — 5.5% to 7.5% Medical Office — 6.0% to 7.5% Net Lease (single tenant, credit) — 5.0% to 7.0% depending on tenant credit and lease term Rules of thumb: Primary markets (NYC, SF, LA, Boston, DC) trade at lower cap rates than secondary/tertiary markets, often by 100–200 bps (bps, aka basis points; 1 bp = 0.01%). Class A assets trade ~50–150 bps tighter than Class B, and Class B tighter than Class C. Cap rates move inversely with price — a lower cap rate means a higher price for the same NOI. Spread to the 10-year Treasury is a common benchmark; historically 200–400 bps over the 10-year.
Cap Rate 5%
$4,425,720
Cap Rate 7%
$3,161,229
Cap Rate 9%
$2,458,733

Alternative Uses

Best Use
Retail
$3.16M
$2.77M – $3.69M (±1% cap)
NOI $221,286 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 6.51%
Second Best
no second resolved use
Theoretical Best
Office A
$5.93M
$5.19M – $6.92M (±1% cap)
NOI $415,145 @ 7.0% cap · market cap 12.21%
Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with authorities.

Property Analytics

Current Use

Xoxo Tattoo Shop Tattoo & Piercing Shop

Suggested Use

Top Pick Dental Office Grocery & Convenience Store Law Firm Electrical Service (Bike/Boat/Book/etc) Store Fish Market

Score = modeled unmet demand for each use within ~1 mi (higher = bigger opportunity). Zoning and permitted uses should be independently verified with local authorities.

Location Intelligence

Trade Area within ½ mile

970
Businesses Nearby
Balanced
Demand for This Use

Demographics for 85018, AZ

37,944
Population
19,487
Households
1.9
Avg Household Size
40
Median Age
57%
College-Educated
92%
High-School Grad
15.1 sq mi
ZIP Area
2,513
Density / Sq Mi
$87,637
Median Household Income
$58,555
Median Earnings
$1,411
Median Rent
$805,800
Median Home Value

Market

Vacancy Rate% for Retail in Phoenix, AZ

8.5% 2019
8.7% 2020
7.4% 2021
5.6% 2022
5.1% 2023
5.4% 2024
5.3% 2025
Rey
Questions? Ask Rey
Realmo’s AI knows this listing — price, zoning, demand, history. Ask anything.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What type of property is this?
Shopping center - Retail strip center offered for sale in Central Phoenix’s Arcadia trade area.
Where is this shopping center located?
The property is located at 3402 East Thomas Road Phoenix, AZ.
What is the asking price?
The asking price for this property is $3,400,000.
What are key features of this property?
This property features: Retail strip center in Central Phoenix’s Arcadia trade area; Year built: 1960; More than 293,000 residents within a 5‑mile radius
More about this property
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